Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 10

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday


	Recanatese		Perugia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.82
	4.2	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.7	3.54	1.83
	3.51	3.54	1.75
	3.75	3.4	1.85
	3.78	3.4	1.84
	3.65	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.25)	3.48 ↑ (2.95)	1.82 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
24.2%

Draw
26%

Perugia
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recanatese's form might have worsened.

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recanatese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	23.1%	76.9%

Recanatese - Perugia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meli G. (G) 13. Ricci L. 14. Ferrante E. 2. Veltri A. 25. Longobardi G. 16. Morrone B. 8. Carpani G. 4. Prisco A. 7. Senigagliesi L. 10. Sbaffo A. 9. Melchiorri F.	12. Adamonis M. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 5. Angella G. 6. Vulikic S. 3. Cancellieri D. 4. Iannoni E. 16. Bartolomei P. 28. Kouan C. 10. Matos 9. Vazquez F. 23. Lisi F.
Substitutes
30. Canonici G. 17. Egharevba D. 37. Ferretti D. 21. Giampaolo D. 11. Lipari M. 23. Marinacci V. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 54. Peretti M. 3. Quacquarelli G. 24. Raparo M. 12. Tiberi M.	71. Bozzolan A. 21. Cudrig N. 17. Ebnoutalib Y. 22. Furlan J. (G) 86. Giunti G. 25. Morichelli R. 7. Paz Y. 20. Ricci F. 26. Santoro S. 11. Seghetti A. 91. Souare M. 24. Torrasi E.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Recanatese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Perugia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Perugia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
22.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Recanatese - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Rimini - Recanatese	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Recanatese - SPAL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
22.10.23	Juventus U23 - Perugia	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Perugia - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Fermana - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Perugia	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Perugia - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWWW

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