Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 31

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz


	Santos		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.95
	1.75	3.65	4.73	Watch
	1.71	3.85	5.09	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	4.98 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
55.7%

Draw
25.4%

Fortaleza
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	15.4%	30.8%

Santos - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Fortaleza (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Fortaleza (4.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Fortaleza (5.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fortaleza will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fortaleza (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 98. Frias A. 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt (C) 6. Ze Rafael 29. Victor Hugo 22. Barreal A. 32. Rollheiser B. 19. Diaz L.	12. Brenno (G) 14. Mancuso E. 33. Britez E. (C) 3. Avila G. 6. Bruno Pacheco 30. Pierre 88. Lucas Sasha 7. Pochettino T. 80. Herrera J. 26. Breno Lopes 27. Bareiro A.
Substitutes
15. Arao W. 21. Brahimi B. 17. Caballero G. 12. Diogenes (G) 23. Duarte A. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 11. Guilherme 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 10. Neymar 8. Rincon T. 7. Robson Junior 9. Tiquinho Soares	18. Deyverson 16. Diogo Barbosa 34. Gazal 13. Kuscevic B. 23. Leite H. (G) 91. Lucas Crispim 9. Lucero J. 20. Matheus Rossetto 96. Moises 70. Pablo Roberto 2. Tinga 22. Yago Pikachu
Coaches
Vojvoda J.	Palermo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Britez E. 🟨,
18', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
23', Diaz L. 🟨,
32', Pochettino T. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Bareiro A. ⚽, Breno Lopes (A),
39', Frias A. 🟨,
43', Luan Peres 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Joao Schmidt ↓, Arao W. ↑,
46', Barreal A. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
46', Rollheiser B. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
65', Herrera J. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
65', Pochettino T. ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
67', Victor Hugo ↓, Neymar ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Bruno Pacheco (Own goal),
76', Diaz L. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
76', Bareiro A. ↓, Moises ↑,
81', Mancuso E. ↓, Tinga ↑,
82', Pierre ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Santos is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Neymar (Thigh Injury) Rincon T. (Calf Injury) Souza (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Allanzinho (Inactive) Benevenuto (Hamstring Injury) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Lucas Crispim (Muscle Injury) Pereira M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Santos: Barreal A. (Injury) Victor Hugo (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Bareiro A. (Injury) Weverson (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.25	Botafogo RJ - Santos	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Santos - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
15.10.25	Santos - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ceará - Santos	3:0 ✺
01.10.25	Santos - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWLT
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
25.10.25	Fortaleza - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Cruzeiro - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
15.10.25	Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Juventude - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Fortaleza - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
12.06.25	Fortaleza - Santos	2:3
06.12.23	Santos - Fortaleza	1:2
13.08.23	Fortaleza - Santos	4:0
13.11.22	Santos - Fortaleza	0:2
24.07.22	Fortaleza - Santos	0:0
25.11.21	Santos - Fortaleza	2:0
15.08.21	Fortaleza - Santos	1:1

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