Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 10

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz


	Red Bull Bragantino		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	9.5	Watch
	1.49	4.4	6.5
	1.4	4.5	8
	1.4	4.68	8.89
	1.41	4.57	8.23	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.4	4.7	8	Watch
	1.42	4.1	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)	4.44 ↑ (4.4)	8.02 ↑ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
66.8%

Draw
21.4%

Juventude
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

21.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - RB Bragantino (3.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - RB Bragantino (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Bragantino will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 2. Rodriguez G. 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 7. Eric Ramires 10. Jhon Jhon 21. Lucas Barbosa 18. Borbas T. 33. Laquintana I.	1. Gustavo (G) 2. Ewerthon 34. Rodrigo Sam 47. Marcos Paulo 28. Alan Ruschel (C) 95. Caique Goncalves 16. Jadson 27. Batalla E. 44. Mandaca 11. Giovanny 9. Gilberto
Substitutes
59. Athyrson 3. Eduardo Santos 8. Eduardo Sasha 5. Fabinho 37. Fabricio (G) 31. Guilherme 22. Gustavo Neves 35. Matheus Fernandes 45. Nathan Mendes 13. Palacios S. 9. Pitta I. 17. Vinicinho	23. Abner 3. Adriano Martins 70. Gabriel Souza 19. Gabriel Taliari 20. Jean Carlos 12. Marcao (G) 17. Matheus Babi 7. Mauricio Garcez 36. Nata 10. Nene 72. Peixoto 93. Reginaldo
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Jadson 🟨,
31', Gustavo 🟨,
32', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
34', Borbas T. 🟨,
35', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
45+2', Mandaca 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Jhon Jhon ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gustavo ↓, Marcao ↑,
56', Laquintana I. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
56', Borbas T. ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
64', Gilberto ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
65', Giovanny ↓, Nene ↑,
68', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
68', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
75', Hurtado A. 🟨,
82', Jadson ↓, Peixoto ↑,
85', Jhon Jhon ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
86', Batalla E. ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
90+4', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
90+8', Rodriguez G. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.

Recent performances by RB Bragantino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventude has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, RB Bragantino is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fernando (Tendon Injury) Lucao (Ankle Injury) Mosquera H. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Juventude: Enio (Inactive) Felipinho (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Nathan Mendes (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Copa do Brasil
22.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWL
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Juventude - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Fortaleza - Juventude	5:0 ✺
05.05.25	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Internacional RS - Juventude	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Juventude - Mirassol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.09.24	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
15.06.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude	2:1
31.07.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude	1:0
11.04.22	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2
30.11.21	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
14.08.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude	1:2

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