Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelsea		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8
	1.36	5.4	8.2
	1.38	5.4	9
	1.38	5.09	7.77	Watch
	1.42	5.26	8.3	Watch
	1.36	5.36	8.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 (1.38)	5.25 ↑ (5.09)	8.31 ↑ (7.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
70%

Draw
18.4%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18.7%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

18%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.8%	6.7%	5.6%

Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Chelsea (1.81) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (78 of 88 users predict this - 88.64%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.01% – 95.27%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 35 - 89.7%). Wolverhampton (votes: 2 - 5.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 29. Fofana W. 23. Chalobah T. 3. Cucurella M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 7. Neto P. 20. Joao Pedro 49. Garnacho A. 9. Delap L.	31. Johnstone S. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 24. Toti (C) 3. Bueno H. 27. Bellegarde J. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 9. Larsen J. S. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 17. Andrey Santos 41. Estêvão 11. Gittens J. 38. Guiu M. 21. Hato J. 24. James R. 12. Jorgensen F. (G)	10. Arias J. 14. Arokodare T. 23. Chirewa T. 26. Hoever K. 36. Mane M. 15. Mosquera Y. 5. Munetsi M. 1. Sa J. (G) 6. Wolfe D. M.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Collins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Andre 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Gusto M. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
60', Caicedo M. 🟨,
64', Delap L. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
70', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Mane M. ↑,
70', Bellegarde J. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Neto P. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
77', Gusto M. ↓, James R. ↑,
77', Neto P. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
79', Munetsi M. 🟨,
83', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
83', Joao Pedro ↓, Gittens J. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3.

Chelsea is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wolverhampton is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Muscle Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Agbadou E. (Red Card) Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Doherty M. (Knee Injury) Gomes R. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Neto P. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:22. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	3:4 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.25	Chelsea - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Chelsea - Ajax	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
01.11.25	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	3:4 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
29.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	3:4
English Premier League
20.01.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1
25.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	2:6
04.02.24	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:4
24.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	2:1
08.04.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:0
08.10.22	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0

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