Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Sports Max
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Benfica		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.43	5	7.2	Watch
	1.43	4.75	6.5
	1.46	5.03	7
	1.36	4.4	6
	1.43	4.85	6.85
	1.46	5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	4.83 ↑ (4.7)	6.69 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
66.2%

Draw
19.6%

Red Bull Salzburg
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

19.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82%	4.9%	13.1%

Benfica - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (50 of 61 users predict this - 81.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.32% – 91.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 4. Antonio Silva 30. Otamendi N. (C) 8. Aursnes F. 10. Kokcu O. 87. Neves J. 20. Joao Mario 27. Rafa Silva 11. Di Maria A. 33. Musa P.	24. Schlager A. (G) 70. Dedic A. (C) 6. Baidoo S. 31. Pavlovic S. 3. Terzic A. 18. Bidstrup M. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 30. Gloukh O. 14. Kjaergaard M. 19. Konate K. 23. Simic R.
Substitutes
44. Araujo T. 9. Cabral A. 22. Chiquinho 7. David Neres 61. Florentino 47. Gouveia T. 38. Joao Victor 13. Jurasek D. 45. Kokubo L. (G) 5. Morato 24. Soares S. (G) 19. Tengstedt C.	7. Capaldo N. 32. Forson A. 8. Kameri D. 20. Koita S. 1. Mantl N. (G) 38. Morgalla L. 45. Nene D. 4. Piatkowski K. 21. Ratkov P. 22. Solet O. 10. Sucic L. 17. Ulmer A.
Coaches
Schmidt R.	Struber G.

Preview

Benfica is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Salzburg is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Benfica is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Jurasek D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Salzburg: Capaldo N. (Ankle Injury) Guindo D. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Back Injury) Yeo M. K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Diambou M. (Arm Injury) Fernando (Muscle Injury) Okoh B. (Muscle Injury) Ratkov P. (Thigh Injury) Wallner L. (Ankle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
16.09.23	Vizela - Benfica	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Gil Vicente - Benfica	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Boavista - Benfica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
16.09.23	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:5 ✺
13.08.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
02.11.26	Benfica - Alverca	✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.26	Benfica - Gil Vicente	✺
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
01.11.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Lustenau	✺
Austrian OFB Cup
28.10.26	Bregenz - Red Bull Salzburg	✺

Benfica - Red Bull Salzburg