Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Canal 11, Eleven Sports 5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Real Sociedad		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.63
	2.85	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.63
	2.89	3.16	2.78
	2.7	3	2.38
	2.88	3.25	2.53
	2.9	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.08)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)	2.63 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
33.6%

Draw
30.1%

Inter Milan
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

28.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	18.3%	74.4%

Real Sociedad - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 6 - 7.3%). Inter will win (votes: 61 - 74.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 18.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 65% – 83.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 18. Traore H. 5. Zubeldia I. 24. Le Normand R. 17. Tierney K. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 8. Merino M. 14. Kubo T. 7. Barrenetxea A. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 6. de Vrij S. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 21. Asllani K. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 30. Carlos Augusto 8. Arnautovic M. 10. Martinez La. (C)
Substitutes
30. Ayesa G. (G) 11. Cho M. 26. Gonzalez U. 28. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 32. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U. 22. Turrientes B. 12. Zakharyan A.	15. Acerbi F. 77. Audero E. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. A. 36. Darmian M. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 32. Dimarco F. 16. Frattesi D. 14. Klaassen D. 70. Sanchez A. 9. Thuram M.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Inzaghi S.

Preview

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Inter in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Inter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Inter have a series of home games.

Inter will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Fernandez C. (Red Card) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Thigh Injury) Cuadrado J. (Heel Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Andre Silva (Muscle Injury) Elustondo A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
17.09.23	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Real Sociedad - Granada	5:3 ✺
25.08.23	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Real Sociedad - Girona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWTTT
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
16.09.23	Inter Milan - Milan	5:1 ✺
03.09.23	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
28.08.23	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Inter Milan - Monza	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.23	Inter Milan - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

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