Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Reggiana		Monza

	1	X	2
	6	3.4	1.61	Watch
	5.3	3.4	1.65	Watch
	5.95	3.64	1.68
	5.62	3.48	1.67	Watch
	5	3.3	1.67
	6.08	3.45	1.67	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.45 ↑ (4.13)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
17.2%

Draw
27.3%

Monza
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

27.9%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

27.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Reggiana - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Monza will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Reggiana (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 2. Papetti A. 14. Quaranta D. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 23. Rover M. 8. Charlys 16. Reinhart T. 90. Portanova M. (C) 17. Libutti L. 9. Novakovich A. 80. Girma N.	20. Thiam D. (G) 13. Ravanelli L. 15. Delli Carri F. 44. Carboni A. 24. Bakoune A. 32. Pessina M. (C) 21. Colombo L. 7. Azzi P. 10. Cutrone P. 8. Hernani 47. Mota D.
Substitutes
57. Belardinelli L. 26. Bertagnoli M. 43. Bonetti S. 10. Bozhanaj K. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 77. Fumagalli T. 93. Lambourde M. 44. Mendicino L. 55. Pasquoto Lucas 66. Pinelli P. 12. Seculin A. (G) 6. Vallarelli F.	25. Alvarez A. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 30. Caso G. 26. Ciurria P. 28. Colpani A. 3. Lucchesi L. 14. Obiang P. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 43. Strajnar A. (G)
Coaches
Rubinacci L.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Reinhart T. 🟨,
64', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
65', Hernani ↓, Caso G. ↑,
65', Cutrone P. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
75', Girma N. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
75', Reinhart T. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
82', Azzi P. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
82', Rover M. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
86', Portanova M. ↓, Bonetti S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent form of Reggiana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Monza is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Reggiana: Bozzolan A. (Injury) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Rozzio P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Birindelli S. (Inactive) Galazzi N. (Inactive) Maric M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Belardinelli L. (Inactive) Gondo C. (Inactive) Vicari F. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home match between the teams, Reggiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Reggiana - the odds 4.13 are the expected chance of winning is 22.49%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Bari - Reggiana	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Venezia - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Spezia - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Reggiana - Avellino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Monza - Palermo	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Spezia - Monza	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Cesena - Monza	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Monza - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Carrarese - Monza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.10.25	Monza - Reggiana	3:1
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Monza - Reggiana	1:2
Italian Serie B
16.03.21	Monza - Reggiana	2:0
06.12.20	Reggiana - Monza	3:0
Club Friendly
20.08.17	Monza - Reggiana	1:1

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