Match Info

Serie B - Round 29

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Spezia		Monza

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.96	Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.98
	3.55	3.2	2.02	Watch
	3.92	3.44	2.06
	3.86	3.28	2	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2
	3.74	3.45	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.56)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
25.1%

Draw
28.2%

Monza
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

29.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

Spezia - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: Monza will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Radunovic B. (G) 32. Vignali L. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 11. Beruatto P. 17. Sernicola L. 25. Bandinelli F. 60. Romano A. 34. Comotto C. 31. Aurelio G. 5. Valoti M. 9. Artistico G.	20. Thiam D. (G) 15. Delli Carri F. 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. 24. Bakoune A. 21. Colombo L. 32. Pessina M. (C) 30. Caso G. 28. Colpani A. 37. Petagna A. 10. Cutrone P.
Substitutes
70. Adamo E. 6. Bellemo A. 24. Bertoncini A. 18. Conte G. 55. Hristov P. 77. Lorenzelli E. 16. Loria L. (G) 12. Mascardi D. (G) 8. Nagy A. 19. Shagaxle H.	25. Alvarez A. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 26. Ciurria P. 11. Forson O. 8. Hernani 3. Lucchesi L. 47. Mota D. 52. Mout M. 14. Obiang P. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G)
Coaches
Donadoni R.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Petagna A. ⚽, Cutrone P. (A),
10', Carboni A. 🟨,
16', 0 - 2, Cutrone P. ⚽, Petagna A. (A),
20', 1 - 2, Artistico G. ⚽, Aurelio G. (A),
32', Carboni A. 🟨,
34', Petagna A. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
34', 2 - 2, Aurelio G. ⚽,
38', Aurelio G. 🟨,
45+1', Sernicola L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Colpani A. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
57', 3 - 2, Bandinelli F. ⚽,
60', Bandinelli F. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
63', Artistico G. 🟨,
65', Pessina M. ↓, Hernani ↑,
65', Caso G. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
68', Valoti M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
72', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
76', Cutrone P. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
85', Comotto C. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
85', Beruatto P. ↓, Hristov P. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Artistico G. ⚽, Sernicola L. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Spezia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Spezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monza might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F. (Muscle Injury) Lapadula G. (Inactive) Ruggero M. (Yellow Cards) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Azzi P. (Red Card) Galazzi N. (Inactive) Maric M. (Inactive) Ravanelli L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Spezia: Mateju A. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Spezia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.03.26	Padova - Spezia	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Spezia - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cesena - Spezia	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Spezia - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Bari - Spezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
03.03.26	Cesena - Monza	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Monza - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Carrarese - Monza	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Monza - Spezia	1:0
Italian Serie A
28.04.23	Spezia - Monza	0:2
09.10.22	Monza - Spezia	2:0

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