Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Monza		Palermo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.35
	2.19	3.2	3.82
	2.08	3.28	3.58	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.13	3.34	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.16)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	3.55 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monza
44.3%

Draw
29.2%

Palermo
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	46.7%	26.7%

Monza - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Palermo will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 13. Ravanelli L. 15. Delli Carri F. 3. Lucchesi L. 26. Ciurria P. 14. Obiang P. 8. Hernani 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 10. Cutrone P. 37. Petagna A.	66. Joronen J. (G) 29. Peda P. 13. Bani M. (C) 32. Ceccaroni P. 27. Pierozzi N. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Augello T. 21. Le Douaron J. 5. Palumbo A. 20. Pohjanpalo J.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 30. Caso G. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 11. Forson O. 47. Mota D. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 43. Strajnar A. (G)	18. Avena P. 19. Bereszynski B. 28. Blin A. 31. Corona G. 17. Giovane S. 6. Gomes C. 1. Gomis A. (G) 11. Gyasi E. 7. Johnsen D. 96. Magnani G. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Petagna A. ⚽,
28', Palumbo A. 🟨,
41', Hernani 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hernani ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
59', Pierozzi N. ↓, Avena P. ↑,
62', Ceccaroni P. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Ciurria P. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
64', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
64', Peda P. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
71', Petagna A. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
71', Ciurria P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
72', Le Douaron J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
72', Segre J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
75', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
77', Avena P. 🟨,
80', Ranocchia F. 🟨,
86', Cutrone P. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Colombo L. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
89', Azzi P. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monza might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Carboni A. (Red Card) Galazzi N. (Inactive) Maric M. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	6	5	1	0	14:7	7	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
07.03.26	Spezia - Monza	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Cesena - Monza	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Monza - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Carrarese - Monza	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
08.03.26	Carrarese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Palermo - Mantova	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Pescara - Palermo	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Palermo - Virtus Entella	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Palermo - Monza	0:3
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Monza - Palermo	0:1

Upcoming Matches