Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Padova		Venezia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.76	Watch
	4.25	3.4	1.8	Watch
	3.87	3.59	2
	3.83	3.54	1.90	Watch
	4.37	3.44	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.82)	3.49 ↓ (3.53)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
22.6%

Draw
26.9%

Venezia
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.6%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	25%	60%

Padova - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Venezia will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Venezia will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Perrotta M. (C) 3. Barreca A. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 44. Harder J. 18. Ghiglione P. 11. Seghetti A. 20. Bortolussi M.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 4. Franjic B. 6. Busio G. 18. Hainaut A. 21. Compagnon M. 71. Perez K. 8. Doumbia I. 10. Yeboah J. 7. Fila D.
Substitutes
4. Belli F. 13. Boi A. 92. Buonaiuto C. 6. Crisetig L. 30. Favale G. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 10. Papu Gomez 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 77. Tumiatti F. 55. Villa L.	9. Adorante A. 19. Bjarkason B. 37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 32. Duncan A. 23. Grandi M. (G) 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 33. Sverko M. 16. Venturi M.
Coaches
Andreoletti M.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Busio G. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
37', Compagnon M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Compagnon M. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
51', Perez K. 🟨,
54', Seghetti A. 🟨,
56', Fusi P. 🟨,
58', Seghetti A. ↓, Papu Gomez ↑,
58', Ghiglione P. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Yeboah J. (Pen),
68', Perez K. ↓, Adorante A. ↑,
68', Fila D. ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
71', Franjic B. ↓, Sverko M. ↑,
73', Harder J. ↓, Crisetig L. ↑,
79', Crisetig L. 🟨,
79', Perrotta M. 🟨,
82', Yeboah J. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,
89', Faedo C. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
89', Barreca A. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
90+8', Adorante A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Venezia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Inactive) Di Maggio L. (Injury) Lasagna K. (Inactive) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Pastina C. (Inactive) Silva J. (Health problems)

There will not play in Venezia: Bohinen E. (Inactive) Compagnon M. (Inactive) Conde C. (Broken Leg) Pietrelli A. (Inactive) Plizzari A. (Inactive) Sverko M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Yeboah J. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Mantova - Padova	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Spezia - Padova	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Padova - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Catanzaro - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTTTW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Venezia - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Catanzaro - Venezia	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Carrarese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Empoli - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.01.19	Venezia - Padova	2:1
01.09.18	Padova - Venezia	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
10.04.17	Padova - Venezia	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.03.17	Venezia - Padova	3:1
22.02.17	Padova - Venezia	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
28.11.16	Venezia - Padova	1:3

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