Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Venezia		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.65	3.15	2.65
	2.8	2.95	2.6
	2.92	3.15	2.72
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.72	3.24	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.6)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
34%

Draw
30.4%

Reggina
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	38.9%	38.9%

Venezia - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Reggina will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Venezia has the most likely position - 16 (8.11%), has project points - 46, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 3 (9%), has project points - 58, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has quality 35, importance 36, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Venezia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Reggio Calabria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
06.11.22	Como - Venezia	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Venezia - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Brescia - Venezia	1:1 ✺
14.10.22	Venezia - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Venezia - Bari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
07.11.22	Reggina - Genoa	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Cagliari - Reggina	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Reggina - Perugia	2:3 ✺
15.10.22	Parma - Reggina	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.04.21	Venezia - Reggina	0:2
14.12.20	Reggina - Venezia	1:2

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