The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 40.4%
Draw 31.8%
Reggina 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
32.2%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
32.3%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.
Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60.5%
28.9%
10.5%
Perugia - Reggina Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). Reggina will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 45% โ 76%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (12.91%), has project points - 44, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 8 (16.65%), has project points - 54, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality31, importance33, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Reggio Calabria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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