Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 31

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Genoa		Reggina

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.4	6.25
	1.6	3.65	6
	1.66	3.59	6.63
	1.62	3.4	6.5
	1.64	3.55	6	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.76)	3.53 ↑ (3.44)	6.13 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
57.9%

Draw
26.8%

Reggina
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	5%	7.5%

Genoa - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: Genoa will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (67.98%), project points - 71, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), a good chance of promoted (93%), a chance of win league (22%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 9 (15.96%), project points - 52, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 27, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Genoa in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Reggio Calabria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Genoa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Genoa to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Genoa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie B
18.03.23	Brescia - Genoa	0:3 ✺
12.03.23	Genoa - Ternana	1:0 ✺
06.03.23	Genoa - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
01.03.23	Cagliari - Genoa	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Genoa - SPAL	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTW
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
18.03.23	Reggina - Cagliari	0:4 ✺
04.03.23	Reggina - Parma	0:1 ✺
28.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Reggina - Modena	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Cittadella - Reggina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.11.22	Reggina - Genoa	2:1

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