Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 32

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Reggina		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.46	3.15	3.23
	2.36	3.24	3.08	Watch
	2.41	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	3.11 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
39.5%

Draw
30.1%

Venezia
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

29.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggina's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Reggina - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 8 (19.55%), project points - 54, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of prom. playoffs (63%), a very small chance of promoted (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Venezia has the most likely position - 15 (12.65%), project points - 46, currently - 36, a small chance of relegated (12%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 31, small importance 20, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Reggio Calabria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Venezia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
05.04.23	Perugia - Reggina	1:3 ✺
31.03.23	Genoa - Reggina	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Reggina - Cagliari	0:4 ✺
04.03.23	Reggina - Parma	0:1 ✺
28.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
01.04.23	Venezia - Como	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Ascoli - Venezia	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Venezia - Brescia	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Frosinone - Venezia	3:0 ✺
01.03.23	Bari - Venezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
12.11.22	Venezia - Reggina	1:2
02.04.21	Venezia - Reggina	0:2
14.12.20	Reggina - Venezia	1:2

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