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Genoa - Pisa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 18
  • Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)
  • Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Genoa Pisa
    Genoa Pisa
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.96 ↑
    (1.93)    		 3.1 ↓
    (3.15)    		 4.62 ↑
    (4.61)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Genoa
    48.6%    		Draw
    30.7%    		Pisa
    20.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    49.2% 30.2% 20.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    45% 27.6% 22.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • The chances for Pisa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    56.1% 34.1% 9.8%

    Genoa - Pisa Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 23 - 56.1%). Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 34.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 40.9% โ€“ 71.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Pisa (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. ItalyLeali N. (G)
      5. NorwayOstigard L.
    34. DenmarkOtoa S.
    22. MexicoVasquez J. (C)
    15. EnglandNorton-Cuffy B.
    17. UkraineMalinovskyi R.
    32. DenmarkFrendrup M.
      2. NorwayThorsby M.
      3. SpainMartin A.
    29. ItalyColombo L.
      9. PortugalVitinha
    		  1. CroatiaSemper A. (G)
      5. ItalyCanestrelli S.
    39. SpainAlbiol R.
    94. ItalyBonfanti G.
    15. GermanyToure I.
      7. AlgeriaLeris M.
    20. SwitzerlandAebischer M.
      8. DenmarkHojholt M.
      3. ItalyAngori S.
      9. DenmarkMeister H.
    32. ItalyMoreo S. (C)
    Substitutes
    23. ArgentinaCarboni V.
    30. ParaguayCuenca Martinez H. F.
    21. ItalyEkhator J.
    18. GhanaEkuban C.
    77. IcelandEllertsson M. E.
    40. ItalyFini S.
    35. LithuaniaLysionok E. (G)
    27. ItalyMarcandalli A.
    73. ItalyMasini P.
    20. ItalySabelli S.
    39. ItalySommariva D. (G)
      8. RomaniaStanciu N.
    76. ItalyVenturino L.
    		42. ItalyBettazzi B.
    16. CzechBuffon L.
    33. ItalyCalabresi A.
      4. ItalyCaracciolo Ant.
    26. ItalyCoppola F.
    44. SwitzerlandDenoon D.
    19. PortugalEsteves T.
    99. BrazilLorran
      6. RomaniaMarin M.
    76. BelgiumMbambi J.
    12. BrazilNicolas Andrade (G)
    18. AngolaNzola M.
    36. ItalyPiccinini G.
    22. ItalyScuffet S. (G)
    10. ItalyTramoni M.
    Coaches
         ItalyDe Rossi D.
    		     ItalyGilardino A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 15', 1 - 0, Colombo L. ⚽,
    • 37', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
    • 38', 1 - 1, Leris M. ⚽,
    • 44', Leris M. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 51', Canestrelli S. 🟨,
    • 59', Hojholt M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
    • 59', Leris M. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
    • 63', Albiol R. ↓, Caracciolo Ant. ↑,
    • 64', Thorsby M. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
    • 73', Bonfanti G. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
    • 73', Moreo S. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
    • 76', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
    • 76', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
    • 83', Calabresi A. 🟨,
    • 85', Otoa S. ↓, Marcandalli A. ↑,

    Preview

  • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
  • Genoa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Pisa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 0).
  • In this match, Genoa is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M. (Injury) Junior Messias (Calf Injury) Onana J. (International duty) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)
  • There will not play in Pisa: Akinsanmiro E. (International duty) Cuadrado J. (Thigh Injury) Mateus Lusuardi (Inactive) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Genoa: Gronbaek A. (Injury)
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
  • Including home match between the teams, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

    • Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Genoa: 0.14%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    19Genoa50143:10-71

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Genoa CFC
    Italian Serie A
    29.12.25 Roma - Genoa 3:1 ✺
    21.12.25 Genoa - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    14.12.25 Genoa - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    08.12.25 Udinese - Genoa 1:2 ✺
    Coppa Italia
    03.12.25 Atalanta - Genoa 4:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8
    LLLWL
    - AC Pisa
    Italian Serie A
    27.12.25 Pisa - Juventus 0:2 ✺
    21.12.25 Cagliari - Pisa 2:2 ✺
    12.12.25 Lecce - Pisa 1:0 ✺
    08.12.25 Pisa - Parma 0:1 ✺
    30.11.25 Pisa - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4
    LTLLL
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie B
    28.01.23 Genoa - Pisa 0:0
    28.08.22 Pisa - Genoa 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Genoa CFC
    Italian Serie A
    10.10.26 Genoa - Fiorentina ✺
    - AC Pisa
    Italian Serie B
    10.10.26 Vicenza Virtus - Pisa ✺

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