Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
France	Amazon Prime Video
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Reims		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.8	6
	1.54	4	6.75
	1.57	3.9	6.2
	1.59	4.05	6.66
	1.57	3.9	6
	1.58	3.95	6.05	Watch
	1.62	3.95	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	3.92 ↑ (3.76)	6.3 ↑ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reims
60.5%

Draw
24.4%

Ajaccio
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reims than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	6%	10.7%

Reims - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: Reims will win (70 of 84 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.36% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Reims has the most likely position - 9 (25.44%), has project points - 56, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 18 (23.58%), has project points - 34, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 57, small importance 26, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ajaccio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Reims is a favorite.

There will not play in Reims: Agbadou E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Cimignani Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Kone Y. (Ankle Injury) Mangani T. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Reims won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
26.02.23	Reims - Toulouse	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Nice - Reims	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Reims - Troyes	4:0 ✺
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Toulouse - Reims	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.02.23	Auxerre - Reims	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLT
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
26.02.23	Ajaccio - Troyes	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Lorient - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
10.02.23	Nice - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
05.02.23	Ajaccio - Nantes	0:2 ✺
01.02.23	Angers - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
11.01.23	Ajaccio - Reims	0:1
French Ligue 2
20.04.18	Reims - Ajaccio	1:0
24.11.17	Ajaccio - Reims	0:1
10.03.17	Reims - Ajaccio	3:0
14.10.16	Ajaccio - Reims	1:0
French Ligue 1
10.05.14	Ajaccio - Reims	2:1
21.12.13	Reims - Ajaccio	4:1

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