Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 10 February 2023, Friday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Nice		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	6	Watch
	1.63	3.5	6.25
	1.56	3.75	7
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.66	3.63	6.77
	1.6	3.6	6.5
	1.61	3.7	6.25	Watch
	1.65	3.7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.62 ↑ (3.61)	6.35 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
58.5%

Draw
26.4%

Ajaccio
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26.2%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.5%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.3%	3.9%	7.8%

Nice - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: Nice will win (113 of 128 users predict this - 88.28%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 93.85%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Nice has the most likely position - 7 (20.05%), has project points - 60, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 18 (20.17%), has project points - 34, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 58, importance 32, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nice won 3.

Nice in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ajaccio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nice is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Atal Y. (Injury) Bulka M. (Shoulder Injury) Pepe N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Cimignani Y. (Injury) Coutadeur M. (Calf Injury) Diallo I. (Red Card) Kone Y. (Ankle Injury) Mangani T. (Injury) Mayembo F. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Nice to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nice won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Nice won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
05.02.23	Olympique Marseille - Nice	1:3 ✺
01.02.23	Lens - Nice	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Nice - Lille	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Reims - Nice	0:0 ✺
11.01.23	Nice - Montpellier	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWWTW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
05.02.23	Ajaccio - Nantes	0:2 ✺
01.02.23	Angers - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Ajaccio - Lyon	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.01.23	Toulouse - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.01.23	Monaco - Ajaccio	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
11.09.22	Ajaccio - Nice	0:1
18.01.14	Nice - Ajaccio	2:0
25.08.13	Ajaccio - Nice	0:0
26.05.13	Ajaccio - Nice	0:2
11.08.12	Nice - Ajaccio	0:1

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