Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Voyo
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Toulouse		Reims

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.6	4
	1.88	3.55	4.15
	1.91	3.68	4.37
	1.93	3.62	4.17	Watch
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.94	3.7	4.34	Watch
	1.88	3.55	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	4.17 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
50.4%

Draw
26.6%

Reims
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44%	28%	28%

Toulouse - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 11 - 44%). Reims will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Restes G. (G) 19. Sidibe D. 4. Cresswell C. 3. McKenzie M. 12. Kamanzi W. 23. Casseres C. 8. Sierro V. (C) 15. Donnum A. 7. Aboukhlal Z. 13. King J. 10. Gboho Y.	94. Diouf Y. (G) 21. Kipre C. 2. Okumu J. 5. Agbadou E. 18. Akieme S. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 71. Fofana Y. 72. Kone A. 7. Ito J. 22. Diakite O. 17. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
6. Akdag U. 80. Babicka S. 30. Dominguez A. (G) 35. Edjouma N. 9. Magri F. 22. Messali R. 20. Schmidt N. 17. Suazo G. 21. Zajc M.	63. Bamba M. A. 4. Busi M. 25. De Smet T. 67. Diakhon M. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 20. Olliero A. (G) 11. Salama A. 55. Sangui N. 74. Sissoko N.
Coaches
Martinez C.	Elsner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', Fofana Y. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
73', Gboho Y. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
73', Kamanzi W. ↓, Suazo G. ↑,
77', Nakamura K. 🟨,
81', Sangui N. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Aboukhlal Z. ⚽, Suazo G. (A),
86', Okumu J. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
86', Agbadou E. 🟨,
90', Kone A. ↓, Bamba M. A. ↑,
90', Diakite O. ↓, Sissoko N. ↑,
90+3', Aboukhlal Z. ↓, Magri F. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 3.

Toulouse is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Reims is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reims could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Toulouse will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Toulouse: Nicolaisen R. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Buta (Yellow Cards) Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Munetsi M. (Yellow Cards) Teuma T. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Kone A. (Thigh Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28:23 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
27.10.24	Montpellier - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
20.10.24	Toulouse - Angers	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Lille - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Toulouse - Lyon	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Brest - Toulouse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLL
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
26.10.24	Reims - Brest	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Auxerre - Reims	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Reims - Montpellier	4:2 ✺
29.09.24	Angers - Reims	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.02.24	Reims - Toulouse	2:3
22.10.23	Toulouse - Reims	1:1
26.02.23	Reims - Toulouse	3:0
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Toulouse - Reims	3:1
French Ligue 1
11.09.22	Toulouse - Reims	1:0
14.12.19	Toulouse - Reims	0:1
10.02.19	Toulouse - Reims	1:1

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