Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5
Argentina	ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Voyo
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Reims		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.5	4	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.2
	1.95	3.45	3.95	Watch
	1.96	3.52	4.29
	1.99	3.54	4	Watch
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.96	3.74	4.19	Watch
	1.95	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.35)	3.51 ↑ (3.51)	4.07 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Reims
49.4%

Draw
27.2%

Brest
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reims's performance.

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reims than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reims that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.1%	3.4%	8.5%

Reims - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 51 - 87.9%). Brest will win (votes: 5 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 79.5% – 96.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (G) 23. Buta 2. Okumu J. 5. Agbadou E. (C) 18. Akieme S. 15. Munetsi M. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 7. Ito J. 71. Fofana Y. 17. Nakamura K. 22. Diakite O.	40. Bizot M. (G) 12. Zogbe L. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 22. Haidara M. 9. Doumbia K. 6. Fernandes E. 28. Martin J. 21. Faivre R. 34. Salah I. 14. Balde M.
Substitutes
25. De Smet T. 67. Diakhon M. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 21. Kipre C. 72. Kone A. 20. Olliero A. (G) 11. Salama A. 55. Sangui N. 74. Sissoko N.	19. Ajorque L. 23. Amavi J. 45. Camara M. 30. Coudert G. (G) 7. Lala K. 25. Le Cardinal J. 20. Lees-Melou P. 8. Magnetti H. 26. Pereira Lage M.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Faivre R. (Pen),
15', Zogbe L. ↓, Lala K. ↑,
18', 0 - 2, Balde M. ⚽, Faivre R. (A),
29', 1 - 2, Okumu J. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
45+2', Bizot M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Haidara M. ↓, Amavi J. ↑,
60', Fernandes E. ↓, Lees-Melou P. ↑,
60', Faivre R. ↓, Ajorque L. ↑,
63', Fofana Y. 🟨,
65', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
68', Fofana Y. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
76', Balde M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
80', Diakite O. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
80', Akieme S. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
85', Martin J. ↓, Magnetti H. ↑,
88', Atangana Edoa V. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
89', Diakhon M. 🟨,
90', Agbadou E. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 0.

Reims is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brest is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reims could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Reims will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Le Cardinal J. (Groin Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Teuma T. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Reims won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:14 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
20.10.24	Auxerre - Reims	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Reims - Montpellier	4:2 ✺
29.09.24	Angers - Reims	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nantes - Reims	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWTW
- Stade Brestois 29
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Brest - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
19.10.24	Brest - Rennes	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Brest	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
27.09.24	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.24	Brest - Reims	1:1
17.09.23	Reims - Brest	1:2
09.04.23	Reims - Brest	1:1
30.10.22	Brest - Reims	0:0
20.02.22	Reims - Brest	1:1
17.10.21	Brest - Reims	1:1
24.01.21	Reims - Brest	1:0

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