Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Brest		Rennes

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.18	Watch
	3.48	3.45	2.22
	3.08	3.43	2.29	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.37	3.47	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.46)	3.38 ↓ (3.59)	2.21 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brest
28.7%

Draw
28.1%

Rennes
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.3%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

25.6%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	38.1%	47.6%

Brest - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Rennes will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 26.2% – 69%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Rennes (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 19. Ajorque L.	30. Samba B. (G) 36. Seidu A. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 10. Blas L. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 7. Embolo B.
Substitutes
44. Coulibaly S. 29. Diop S. 27. Guindo D. 71. Le Guen R. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.	6. Cisse D. 69. Do Marcolino H. 4. Kamara G. 65. Mukiele N. 18. Nagida M. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 67. Soukouna I. 17. Szymanski S. 77. Zabiri Y.
Coaches
Roy E.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Blas L. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
34', Coudert G. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Rongier V. 🟨,
39', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 2 - 2, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Locko B. (A),
60', Brassier L. 🟨,
63', 2 - 3, Embolo B. ⚽,
70', 3 - 3, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽,
73', Blas L. 🟨,
74', 3 - 4, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Diaz Jr. M. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
76', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
81', Tamari M. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
81', Seidu A. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
88', Blas L. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
90+2', Samba B. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3.

Recent performances by Brest have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rennes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Thigh Injury) Doumbia K. (Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P. (Yellow Cards) Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury) Rosier L. (Injury) Rouault A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Rennes: Nagida M. (Inactive) Szymanski S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.66% Brest: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Monaco - Brest	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Brest - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWWW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
22.03.26	Rennes - Metz	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Rennes - Lille	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Rennes - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Auxerre - Rennes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Rennes - Brest	3:1
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Rennes - Brest	2:3
French Ligue 1
18.01.25	Rennes - Brest	1:2
19.10.24	Brest - Rennes	1:1
28.04.24	Rennes - Brest	4:5
02.09.23	Brest - Rennes	0:0
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Brest - Rennes	0:1

Upcoming Matches