Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 15

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	Fanatiz


	Remo		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.35	1.98	Watch
	4.23	3.45	2
	4.07	3.39	1.98	Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.91
	4.12	3.42	1.98	Watch
	5.4	3.65	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (5.08)	3.41 ↓ (3.52)	1.92 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
22.6%

Draw
27.9%

Palmeiras
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

26.3%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

25%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Remo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Remo - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Remo will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 13. Marllon (C) 18. Tchamba D. 98. Mayk 28. Ze Welison 8. Patrick 22. Yago Pikachu 55. Ze Ricardo 37. Jaja 11. Alef Manga	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 26. Murilo 15. Gomez G. (C) 6. Jefte 17. Marlon Freitas 8. Andreas Pereira 40. Allan Elias 19. Sosa R. 11. Arias J. 42. Lopez J.
Substitutes
26. David Braga 33. Diego Hernandez 99. Gabriel Poveda 7. Giovanni Pavani 97. Ivan (G) 10. Jaderson 5. Leo Andrade 2. Matheus Alexandre 14. Picco L. 17. Tassano C. 15. Vitor Bueno 94. Ygor Vinhas (G)	43. Benedetti 3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 12. Khellven 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 18. Mauricio 10. Paulinho
Coaches
Leo Conde	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Alef Manga ⚽, Yago Pikachu (A),
5', Jefte 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Sosa R. ⚽, Allan Elias (A),
32', Allan Elias 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Jefte ↓, Khellven ↑,
74', Ze Ricardo 🟥,
74', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
74', Giay A. ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
75', Alef Manga ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
82', Arias J. ↓, Mauricio ↑,
82', Allan Elias ↓, Luis Pacheco ↑,
83', Ze Welison ↓, Picco L. ↑,
83', Yago Pikachu ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
90+4', Marcelo Rangel 🟨,
90+8', Marcelinho ↓, Giovanni Pavani ↑,
90+8', Patrick ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Recent performances by Remo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palmeiras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Remo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Remo: Diego Hernandez (Inactive) Gabriel Taliari (Hamstring Injury) Kayky Almeida (Knee Injury) Thalisson (Knee Injury) Vitor Bueno (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Piquerez J. (Knee Injury) Vitor Roque (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Remo: Eduardo Melo (Hamstring Injury) Freitas (Inactive) Joao Lucas (Knee Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Palmeiras	29	17	9	3	48:21	27	60
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Remo	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Remo - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Bahia - Remo	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Remo	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Águia de Marabá - Remo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLWLL
- Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores
05.05.26	Sporting Cristal - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Palmeiras - Santos	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Palmeiras - Jacuipense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTWW

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