Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Rennes		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	4
	1.83	3.6	3.9
	1.86	3.95	3.9
	1.83	3.9	3.85
	1.88	4.02	3.96
	1.86	4.05	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.33)	3.92 ↑ (3.32)	3.96 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
51.6%

Draw
24.3%

Leicester City
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

19.5%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rennes's performance.

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leicester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rennes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.3%	12.8%	14.9%

Rennes - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 68 - 72.3%). Leicester will win (votes: 14 - 14.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 63.3% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Rennes was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Leicester was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (80%), has a chance of semis (44%), has a chance of final (23%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

This event has big quality 72, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Rennes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rennes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
13.03.22	Lyon - Rennes	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Leicester City - Rennes	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.03.22	Rennes - Angers	2:0 ✺
25.02.22	Montpellier - Rennes	2:4 ✺
20.02.22	Rennes - Troyes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW
- Leicester City
English Premier League
13.03.22	Arsenal - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Leicester City - Rennes	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.03.22	Leicester City - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
01.03.22	Burnley - Leicester City	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.02.22	Randers FC - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Leicester City - Rennes	2:0

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