Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 15

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	17:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
France	21:00	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United Kingdom	20:00	Sky Sports


	Leicester City		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.7	3.25
	2.03	3.7	3.45	Watch
	2.13	3.72	3.43
	2.13	3.73	3.45
	2.05	3.5	3.2
	2.05	3.75	3.34	Watch
	2.08	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.84)	3.68 ↓ (3.83)	3.33 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
45.7%

Draw
25.8%

Leeds United
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester City's form might have worsened.

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	2.7%	4%

Leicester City - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (70 of 75 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.68% – 98.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 21. Pereira R. 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 2. Justin J. 7. Casadei C. 8. Winks H. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Fatawu I. 9. Vardy J. (C) 10. Mavididi S.	1. Meslier I. (G) 22. Gray A. 14. Rodon J. 21. Struijk P. (C) 25. Byram S. 8. Kamara G. 4. Ampadu E. 20. James D. 7. Piroe J. 10. Summerville C. 24. Rutter G.
Substitutes
11. Albrighton M. 17. Choudhury H. 4. Coady C. 20. Daka P. 14. Iheanacho K. 40. Marcal-Madivadua W. 35. McAteer K. 15. Souttar H. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G)	12. Anthony J. 2. Ayling L. 9. Bamford P. 6. Cooper L. 28. Darlow K. (G) 3. Firpo J. 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 27. Poveda I.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Farke D.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 2.

Leicester in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Leeds is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leicester will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Akgun Y. (Knock) Cannon T. (Back Injury) Doyle C. (Knee Injury) Ndidi W. (Injury) Praet D. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Dallas S. (Broken Leg) Firpo J. (Injury) Spence D. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
28.10.23	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Leicester City - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Swansea City - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Leicester City - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Leicester City - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Leeds United
English League Championship
28.10.23	Leeds United - Huddersfield Town	4:1 ✺
25.10.23	Stoke City - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Norwich City - Leeds United	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	Leeds United - Bristol City	2:1 ✺
04.10.23	Leeds United - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.04.23	Leeds United - Leicester City	1:1
20.10.22	Leicester City - Leeds United	2:0
05.03.22	Leicester City - Leeds United	1:0
07.11.21	Leeds United - Leicester City	1:1
31.01.21	Leicester City - Leeds United	1:3
02.11.20	Leeds United - Leicester City	1:4
English League Cup
24.10.17	Leicester City - Leeds United	3:1

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