The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley 32.6%
Draw 28.8%
Leicester City 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
27.5%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
18.8%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25.8%
37.9%
36.3%
Burnley - Leicester City Predictions
Users Predictions:
124 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 32 - 25.8%). Leicester will win (votes: 45 - 36.3%). It will Tie (votes: 47 - 37.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.4% – 46.4%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 13).
Burnley has the most likely position - 16 (14.47%), has project points - 38, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Leicester has the most likely position - 10 (15.33%), has project points - 48, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality69, small importance23, match rating46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.