Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Rennes		Milan

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.5
	2.75	3.4	2.5
	2.65	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3.45	2.5
	2.83	3.49	2.54
	2.6	3.4	2.5
	2.84	3.68	2.56
	2.8	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.6)	3.51 ↑ (3.46)	2.53 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
34.9%

Draw
27.3%

Milan
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	35%	40%

Rennes - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Milan will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mandanda S. (C) 17. Doue G. 23. Omari W. 5. Theate A. 3. Truffert A. 14. Bourigeaud B. 8. Santamaria B. 33. Doue D. 10. Gouiri A. 9. Kalimuendo A. 7. Terrier M.	16. Maignan M. (G) 42. Florenzi A. 24. Kjaer S. 46. Gabbia M. 19. Hernandez T. (C) 4. Bennacer I. 14. Reijnders T. 11. Pulisic C. 80. Musah Y. 10. Leao R. 15. Jovic L.
Substitutes
16. Belocian J. 11. Blas L. 38. Cisse D. 1. Gallon G. (G) 39. Lambourde M. 40. Lembet G. (G) 6. Matusiwa A. 34. Salah I. 36. Seidu A. 15. Wooh C. 99. Yildirim B.	7. Adli Y. 95. Bartesaghi D. 21. Chukwueze S. 81. Eletu V. 9. Giroud O. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 83. Mirante A. (G) 84. Nsiala C. 17. Okafor N. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 38. Terracciano F. 28. Thiaw M.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Pioli S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Rennes: Le Fee E. (Muscle Injury) Nagida M. (Knee Injury) Rieder F. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Calabria D. (Muscle Injury) Kalulu P. (Knee Injury) Pobega T. (Muscle Injury) Tomori F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Caldara M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rennes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
18.02.24	Rennes - Clermont	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Milan - Rennes	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.02.24	Le Havre - Rennes	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
06.02.24	Sochaux - Rennes	1:6 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.02.24	Rennes - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
18.02.24	Monza - Milan	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Milan - Rennes	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.02.24	Milan - Napoli	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Frosinone - Milan	2:3 ✺
27.01.24	Milan - Bologna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Milan - Rennes	3:0

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