Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Frosinone		Milan

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.67	Watch
	4.75	4	1.66
	4.65	4.1	1.68	Watch
	4.9	4.09	1.7
	5.02	4.2	1.68
	4.8	4.2	1.6
	4.97	4.3	1.72	Watch
	4.75	4.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.4)	4.12 ↑ (4.07)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
19.8%

Draw
23.2%

Milan
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

23.3%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

22.5%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	7.2%	89.9%

Frosinone - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (62 of 69 users predict this - 89.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.74% – 96.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Turati S. (G) 14. Gelli F. 6. Romagnoli S. 5. Okoli C. 4. Brescianini M. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 45. Barrenechea E. 21. Harroui A. 8. Seck D. 9. Kaio Jorge 18. Soule M.	16. Maignan M. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 24. Kjaer S. 46. Gabbia M. 19. Hernandez T. 7. Adli Y. 14. Reijnders T. 11. Pulisic C. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 10. Leao R. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
24. Bourabia M. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 70. Cheddira W. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 17. Kvernadze G. 20. Lirola P. 30. Monterisi I. 12. Reinier 32. Valeri E.	95. Bartesaghi D. 4. Bennacer I. 42. Florenzi A. 74. Jimenez A. 15. Jovic L. 80. Musah Y. 69. Nava L. (G) 17. Okafor N. 82. Simic J. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 38. Terracciano F.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Pioli S.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Frosinone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Milan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Milan is a favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Chukwueze S. (International duty) Kalulu P. (Knee Injury) Pobega T. (Muscle Injury) Thiaw M. (Hamstring Injury) Tomori F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Baez J. (Injury) Bonifazi K. (Injury) Ibrahimovic A. (Injury) Kalaj S. (Injury) Lirola P. (Injury) Marchizza R. (Muscle Injury) Mateus Lusuardi (Injury) Oyono A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Caldara M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
28.01.24	Verona - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Frosinone - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
15.01.24	Atalanta - Frosinone	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.01.24	Juventus - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.01.24	Frosinone - Monza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLL
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
27.01.24	Milan - Bologna	2:2 ✺
20.01.24	Udinese - Milan	2:3 ✺
14.01.24	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.01.24	Milan - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.01.24	Empoli - Milan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.12.23	Milan - Frosinone	3:1
19.05.19	Milan - Frosinone	2:0
26.12.18	Frosinone - Milan	0:0
01.05.16	Milan - Frosinone	3:3
20.12.15	Frosinone - Milan	2:4

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