Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1 Pass
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Le Havre		Rennes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.4
	3.25	3.35	2.22
	3.34	3.41	2.29
	10.19	4.54	1.34	Watch
	3.2	3.61	2.27	Watch
	2.93	3.35	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.21)	3.58 ↑ (3.42)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
24.6%

Draw
28.4%

Rennes
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.8%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	25%	65%

Le Havre - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Rennes will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rennes (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Rennes (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Rennes (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 20%). Rennes (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 7. Nego L. 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 26. Ebonog S. 15. Seko A. 14. Ndiaye R. 21. Namli Y. 45. Soumare I. 10. Mambimbi F.	30. Samba B. (G) 36. Seidu A. 97. Jacquet J. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 6. Cisse D. 21. Rongier V. (C) 26. Merlin Q. 7. Embolo B. 9. Lepaul E.
Substitutes
13. Doucoure F. 8. Kechta Y. 11. Kyeremeh G. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 9. Pizarro D. 34. Vinette E. K. 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 33. Zagadou S.	70. Akabou A. (G) 10. Blas L. 8. Fofana S. 33. Hateboer H. 39. Meite M. 65. Mukiele N. 18. Nagida M. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 11. Tamari M.
Coaches
Digard D.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽, Lepaul E. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽,
34', Ebonog S. 🟨,
45', Jacquet J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Soumare I. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Cisse D. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
64', Namli Y. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
64', Mambimbi F. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
64', Rongier V. 🟨,
78', Ebonog S. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
78', Nego L. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Ndiaye R. ⚽, Kyeremeh G. (A),
90', Ndiaye R. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
90+1', Lepaul E. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (Groin Injury) Kamara G. (Injury) Rouault A. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Kechta Y. (Knock)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Metz - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Le Havre - Lorient	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Strasbourg - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Le Havre - Nice	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLWL
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Rennes - Lens	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Nantes - Rennes	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Rennes - Lyon	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Angers - Rennes	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Lorient - Rennes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
13.04.25	Le Havre - Rennes	1:5
25.10.24	Rennes - Le Havre	1:0
11.02.24	Le Havre - Rennes	0:1
27.08.23	Rennes - Le Havre	2:2
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2
08.07.15	Le Havre - Rennes	2:1

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