Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rennes		Nice

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.35
	2.23	3.7	3.29
	2.21	3.68	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
44.4%

Draw
26.8%

Nice
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	15.6%	6.7%

Rennes - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Nice will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 65.7% – 89.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Rennes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Nice (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Rennes (2.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rennes will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Nice (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 97. Jacquet J. 36. Seidu A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 21. Rongier V. (C) 8. Fofana S. 45. Camara M. 10. Blas L. 9. Lepaul E. 7. Embolo B.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 37. Peprah K. 26. Bard M. 92. Clauss J. (C) 99. Abdul Samed S. 24. Vanhoutte C. 2. Abdi A. 10. Diop S. 90. Kevin 7. Boga J.
Substitutes
48. Ait Boudlal A. 6. Cisse D. 95. Frankowski P. 4. Kamara G. 39. Meite M. 18. Nagida M. 24. Rouault A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 11. Tamari M.	28. Bah J. 39. Coulibaly D. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 20. Louchet T. 22. Ndombele T. 49. Nguene B. 8. Sanson M.
Coaches
Beye H.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', Camara M. 🟨,
31', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Diop S. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Clauss J. ⚽, Boga J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Seidu A. ↓, Frankowski P. ↑,
46', Lepaul E. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
46', Clauss J. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
58', Fofana S. ↓, Ait Boudlal A. ↑,
58', Camara M. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
61', Kevin ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
63', Merlin Q. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
66', Louchet T. 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Ait Boudlal A. ⚽, Frankowski P. (A),
68', Frankowski P. 🟨,
71', Abdi A. ↓, Bah J. ↑,
77', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
77', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
78', Cisse D. 🟨,
79', Embolo B. 🟨,
80', Beye H. 🟨,
84', Samba B. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rennes - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Rennes - Lens	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Nantes - Rennes	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Rennes - Lyon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTTW
- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Nice	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Nice - Lyon	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Monaco - Nice	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Nice	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Nice - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.25	Rennes - Nice	2:0
03.01.25	Nice - Rennes	3:2
13.01.24	Rennes - Nice	2:0
05.11.23	Nice - Rennes	2:0
06.05.23	Nice - Rennes	2:1
02.01.23	Rennes - Nice	2:1
02.04.22	Nice - Rennes	1:1

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