Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Nice		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.95
	1.91	3.85	4.09
	2.11	3.64	3.17	Watch
	1.91	4.01	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.95)	3.79 ↑ (3.64)	3.85 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
49.7%

Draw
25.4%

Paris FC
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	42.9%	9.5%

Nice - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 64. Bombito M. 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. (C) 24. Vanhoutte C. 99. Abdul Samed S. 2. Abdi A. 25. Cho M. 10. Diop S. 9. Moffi T.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 14. Traore H. 6. Otavio 5. Mbow M. 28. De Smet T. 33. Lees-Melou P. 10. Kebbal I. 21. Lopez M. (C) 17. Camara A. 27. Simon M. 9. Geubbels W.
Substitutes
28. Bah J. 26. Bard M. 7. Boga J. 6. Boudaoui H. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 8. Sanson M.	13. Cafaro M. 31. Chergui S. 12. Dicko N. 93. Ikone J. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 11. Krasso J. 20. Lopez J. 19. Sangui N. 35. Trapp K. (G)
Coaches
Haise F.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Mbow M. 🟨,
23', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Diop S. ⚽, Cho M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
46', Abdi A. ↓, Bard M. ↑,
68', Cho M. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
68', Kebbal I. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
75', Moffi T. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
78', Boudaoui H. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
78', Camara A. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
78', Geubbels W. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Krasso J. (Pen),
90+1', Simon M. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
90+2', Traore H. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Nice is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Nice - Roma	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Le Havre - Nice	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
21.09.25	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Brest - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Paris FC - Metz	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	5:2 ✺
17.08.25	Angers - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

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