Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	16:00	Nova Sport
Canada	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 4
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	16:00	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	07:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Russia	16:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	14:00	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, Inter


	Nice		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.95
	1.91	3.85	4.09
	2.11	3.64	3.17	Watch
	1.91	4.01	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.95)	3.79 ↑ (3.64)	3.85 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
49.7%

Draw
25.4%

Paris FC
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

28.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	42.9%	9.5%

Nice - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 64. Bombito M. 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. (C) 24. Vanhoutte C. 99. Abdul Samed S. 2. Abdi A. 25. Cho M. 10. Diop S. 9. Moffi T.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 14. Traore H. 6. Otavio 5. Mbow M. 28. De Smet T. 33. Lees-Melou P. 10. Kebbal I. 21. Lopez M. (C) 17. Camara A. 27. Simon M. 9. Geubbels W.
Substitutes
28. Bah J. 26. Bard M. 7. Boga J. 6. Boudaoui H. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 8. Sanson M.	13. Cafaro M. 31. Chergui S. 12. Dicko N. 93. Ikone J. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 11. Krasso J. 20. Lopez J. 19. Sangui N. 35. Trapp K. (G)
Coaches
Haise F.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Mbow M. 🟨,
23', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Diop S. ⚽, Cho M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
46', Abdi A. ↓, Bard M. ↑,
68', Cho M. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
68', Kebbal I. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
75', Moffi T. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
78', Boudaoui H. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
78', Camara A. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
78', Geubbels W. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Krasso J. (Pen),
90+1', Simon M. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
90+2', Traore H. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Nice is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Nice - Roma	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nice - Nantes	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Le Havre - Nice	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
21.09.25	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Brest - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Paris FC - Metz	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	5:2 ✺
17.08.25	Angers - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

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