Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:15	Disney+
Armenia	19:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	12:15	Caze TV
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	11:15	Disney+
China	23:15	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	10:15	Disney+
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	17:15	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	09:15	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:15	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	10:15	Disney+
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Russia	18:15	Okko Sport
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	17:15	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
South Korea	00:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	18:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+
International	15:15	Onefootball


	Paris FC		Brest

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.02	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.06	3.7	3.74
	2.08	3.48	3.51	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.5
	2.07	3.76	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
47%

Draw
26.6%

Brest
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	5.3%	21.1%

Paris FC - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Brest will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Trapp K. (G) 14. Traore H. 42. Coppola D. 5. Mbow M. (C) 19. Sangui N. 18. Munetsi M. 23. Matondo R. 93. Ikone J. 10. Kebbal I. 27. Simon M. 9. Geubbels W.	30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 71. Le Guen R. 12. Zogbe L. 13. Chotard J. 10. Del Castillo R. 24. Tousart L. 8. Magnetti H. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
17. Camara A. 7. Gory A. 36. Immobile C. 24. Koleosho L. 21. Lopez M. 4. Marchetti V. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 2. Ollila T. 6. Otavio	17. Balde M. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 29. Diop S. 23. Doumbia K. 50. Jauny N. (G) 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P.
Coaches
Kombouare A.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Matondo R. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Geubbels W. ⚽, Ikone J. (A),
24', Traore H. 🟨,
26', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
35', Mbow M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
60', Tousart L. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
65', Kebbal I. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
65', Geubbels W. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Matondo R. ⚽,
70', Magnetti H. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
71', Del Castillo R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
77', Matondo R. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
77', Ikone J. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
83', Chotard J. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
85', Traore H. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Koleosho L. ⚽, Marchetti V. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.

Paris FC is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brest is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paris FC could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Red Card) Lopez J. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Guindo D. (Yellow Cards) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Balde M. (Groin Injury) Doumbia K. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	4	14
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14:12	2	9

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.67% Brest: 0.25%

Last Results with these Odds

Paris FC - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Paris FC - Lille	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWTW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Nantes - Brest	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Brest - Rennes	3:4 ✺
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Monaco - Brest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.09.25	Brest - Paris FC	1:2
French Ligue 2
21.01.19	Paris FC - Brest	0:1
10.08.18	Brest - Paris FC	1:1
24.02.18	Paris FC - Brest	0:1
22.09.17	Brest - Paris FC	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
08.08.17	Paris FC - Brest	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 2
29.01.16	Brest - Paris FC	1:0

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