Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Paris FC		Lille

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.98
	3.95	3.7	1.9
	4.54	3.85	1.84
	4.12	3.8	1.83	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.85
	4.21	3.9	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.65)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
23.5%

Draw
25.8%

Lille
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.6%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

26.5%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	37.9%	58.6%

Paris FC - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Lille will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Paris FC (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 42. Coppola D. 5. Mbow M. 19. Sangui N. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 21. Lopez M. 93. Ikone J. 18. Munetsi M. 27. Simon M. 36. Immobile C.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 23. Mandi A. 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 17. Mukau N. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.
Substitutes
31. Chergui S. 9. Geubbels W. 7. Gory A. 10. Kebbal I. 24. Koleosho L. 23. Matondo R. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 6. Otavio 14. Traore H.	4. Alexsandro 16. Bodart A. (G) 9. Giroud O. 8. Mbappe E. 18. Mbemba Ch. 28. Perrin G. 11. Sahraoui O. 22. Santos T. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Kombouare A.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Mbow M. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez M. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
46', Munetsi M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
49', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
63', Andre B. 🟨,
69', Simon M. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
69', Immobile C. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
72', Ikone J. 🟨,
74', Kebbal I. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
83', Correia F. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
84', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
85', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
85', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
90', Kebbal I. 🟨,
90+2', Camara A. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
90+4', Ngoy N. 🟨,
90+4', Gory A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Lille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lille might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lopez J. (Back Injury) Riou R. (Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Injury) Broholm M. (Injury) Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 4.48% Paris FC: 1.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTWT
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
18.04.26	Lille - Nice	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Toulouse - Lille	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Lille - Lens	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Aston Villa - Lille	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.11.25	Lille - Paris FC	4:2

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