Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.73	Watch
	4.3	3.65	1.71
	4.5	3.95	1.78
	4.6	3.6	1.7
	4.4	3.85	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.28)	3.74 ↑ (3.56)	1.74 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
21%

Draw
25%

Avispa Fukuoka
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.3%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

20.7%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 and 2 in the zone Promotion to J1 League).

Renofa Yamaguchi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avispa Fukuoka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Renofa Yamaguchi won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Renofa Yamaguchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
11.11.20	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
04.11.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
11.11.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
08.11.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
04.11.20	Mito HollyHock - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0
28.09.19	Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0
30.06.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:4
13.10.18	Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
14.04.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0
30.09.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1
05.03.17	Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2

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