Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 41

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.72
	4.33	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.54	3.9	1.8
	4.54	3.9	1.79
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.25	3.74	1.79	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4.03)	3.68 ↑ (3.58)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
21.5%

Draw
25.3%

Machida Zelvia
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

25.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25.6%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Seki K. (G) 40. Hirase D. 66. Kim Byeom-Yong 3. Renan 16. Yoshioka M. 10. Ikegami J. 27. Naruoka H. 11. Tanaka T. 32. Igarashi T. 20. Kawano K. 24. Umeki T.	42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 39. Vasquez B. 19. Inaba S. 18. Shimoda H. 6. Ota K. 10. Takahashi D. 9. Numata T. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
22. Ikoma J. 15. Mae T. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 9. Minagawa Y. 94. Silvio 2. Takahashi H. 31. Terakado R. (G)	29. Ademilson 7. Araki S. 4. Ikeda J. 22. Onaga H. 23. Popp W. (G) 16. Uno Z. 41. Yasui T.
Coaches
Esnaider E.	Kuroda G.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Machida Zelvia is Qualified for J1 League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Renofa Yamaguchi won 3.

Recent matches Renofa Yamaguchi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Machida Zelvia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Machida Zelvia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Renofa Yamaguchi won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Renofa Yamaguchi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
28.10.23	Vegalta Sendai - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Fagiano Okayama	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Omiya Ardija - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:2 ✺
23.09.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
29.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Machida Zelvia	0:3 ✺
14.10.23	Blaublitz Akita - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	3:3 ✺
01.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Iwaki	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.05.23	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0
10.09.22	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1
04.05.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia	3:1
11.09.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia	0:1
02.05.21	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:2
11.11.20	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0
22.08.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia	0:2

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