Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping


	Retrô Brasil		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.55
	2.68	2.68	2.78	Watch
	2.83	2.93	2.95
	2.8	2.75	2.5
	2.67	2.65	2.79	Watch
	2.42	2.72	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.3)	2.75 ↓ (2.94)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
33.9%

Draw
33.1%

CS Alagoano
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

31%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

31.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Retrô will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). CSA will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - CSA (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CSA (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 13. Bruno Peres 7. Fabinho (C) 18. Franco R. 28. Joao Lucas 9. Mascote 30. Maycon Douglas 4. Rayan Ribeiro 3. Robson Reis 21. Rodolfo 99. Vagner Love	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 18. Baianinho 3. Betao (C) 5. Camacho 6. Enzo 2. Felipe Albuquerque 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 19. Igor Bahia 10. Luciano Naninho 4. Luiz Gustavo
Substitutes
1. Darley (G) 17. Diego Guerra 25. Eduardo 20. Gledson 6. Gustavo Salomao 11. Junior Fialho 26. Ly I. 29. Mendonca 27. Mike 19. Rayne Assis 2. Savio 14. Tales	22. Cavalleri M. 21. Danilinho 14. Diogo Batista 20. Gabriel Vieira 12. Georgemy (G) 7. Gustavinho 15. Kevyn 13. Marcao 16. Roberto 99. Robinho 17. Silas 25. Vander
Coaches
Schulle I.	Higo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gustavo Nicola 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Camacho ↓, Kevyn ↑,
57', Guilherme Cachoeira 🟨,
60', Baianinho ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
60', Luciano Naninho ↓, Gabriel Vieira ↑,
64', Mascote ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
64', Maycon Douglas ↓, Diego Guerra ↑,
64', Rodolfo ↓, Tales ↑,
67', Gabriel Vieira 🟨,
70', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Silas ↑,
73', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
77', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
80', Robson Reis ↓, Mendonca ↑,
90', Fabinho ↓, Gledson ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 9).

Retrô is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

CSA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

CSA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.25	Ituano - Retrô Brasil	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Retrô Brasil - Londrina	0:4 ✺
14.06.25	Anápolis - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Guarani	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.25	CS Alagoano - Caxias	2:3 ✺
28.06.25	Guarani - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
16.06.25	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.06.25	América RN - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW

Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide