The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rhode Island 39%
Draw 27.6%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
27%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
27.1%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Rhode Island - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Rhode Island will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (C) 32. Diop H. 5. Stoneman G. 15. Nodarse F. 3. Sanchez A. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 21. Herivaux Z. 17. Kwizera J. 9. Williams J. 8. Leo Afonso
1. Waite J. (G) 30. Cruz S. 3. Schaefer B. 62. Dossantos N. (C) 20. Ostrem C. 26. Acoff D. 23. Schneider M. 13. Perez L. 7. Conway E. 8. Pedro Becker 10. Cicerone R.
Substitutes
29. Castro J. (G) 14. Dorsey L. 11. Fuson N. 12. Holstad C. 10. Rodriguez A. 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K.
14. Henderlong K. 4. Hilton L. 16. Micaletto M. 9. Myers M. 24. Pack A. (G) 11. Vivi Quesada G. 27. Wyke L.
Coaches
Smith K.
Casciato D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Schneider M. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Pedro Becker ⚽, Schneider M. (A),
30', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Ostrem C. 🟨,
62', Perez L. 🟨,
62', Kwizera J. 🟨,
63', Kwizera J. ↓, Fuson N. ↑,
63', Bacharach Capdevila H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
63', Nodarse F. ↓, Scardina N. ↑,
69', Schneider M. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
70', Herivaux Z. ↓, Holstad C. ↑,
70', Micaletto M. 🟨,
76', Cruz S. ↓, Hilton L. ↑,
77', Perez L. ↓, Myers M. ↑,
77', Conway E. ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
79', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Dorsey L. ↑,
83', Cicerone R. ↓, Vivi Quesada G. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Williams J. ⚽, Scardina N. (A),
90+4', Pedro Becker 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Rhode Island has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tampa Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rhode Island won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Rhode Island - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Koke Vegas (C) 
Diop H. 
Stoneman G. 
Nodarse F. 
Herivaux Z. 
Kwizera J. 
Leo Afonso 
Waite J. (G) 
Dossantos N. (C) 
Schneider M. 
Perez L. 
Rodriguez A. 
Hilton L. 
Micaletto M. 
Vivi Quesada G. 
Smith K. 
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