Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Rio Ave (Vila do Conde)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Rio Ave		Gil Vicente

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.9
	3.7	3.45	1.92	Watch
	3.92	3.61	2.05
	3.71	3.63	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.83	3.64	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.5)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
25.3%

Draw
26.9%

Gil Vicente
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

28.4%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Rio Ave - Gil Vicente Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miszta C. (G) 17. Vrousai M. (C) 23. Petrasso F. 39. Gustavo Mancha 6. Abbey N. 44. Nikitscher T. 8. Ryan Guilherme 7. Diogo Bezerra 11. Blesa J. 18. Spikic D. 9. Monteiro T.	99. Figueira Daniel (G) 2. Ze Carlos (C) 4. Elimbi M. 39. Buatu J. 3. Konan G. 6. Ze Carlos 10. Esteves L. 77. Murilo de Souza 95. Garcia S. 32. Fernandez M. 23. Hernandez H.
Substitutes
32. Brabec J. 54. Liavas G. 63. Lomboto J. 19. Papakanellos A. 80. Pohlmann O. 25. Rafael Lobato 77. Richards O. 20. Tome J. 99. van der Gouw E. (G)	17. Bermejo 29. Carlos Eduardo 5. Caseres F. 48. Espigares A. 11. Fernandes J. 20. Hevertton S. 30. Lucao (G) 27. Moreira A. 89. Varela G.
Coaches
Sylaidopoulos S.	Peixoto C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
58', Hernandez H. ↓, Varela G. ↑,
63', Ryan Guilherme 🟨,
63', Spikic D. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
69', Ze Carlos 🟨,
79', Ze Carlos ↓, Bermejo ↑,
82', Abbey N. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
83', Vrousai M. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
87', Monteiro T. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
87', Ryan Guilherme ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
87', Murilo de Souza ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
88', Elimbi M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gil Vicente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B. (Knee Injury) Ntoi A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Injury) Caseres F. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gil Vicente	7	3	2	2	6:5	1	11
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
25.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Rio Ave - AVS	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Rio Ave - Alverca	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTWLW
- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
27.04.26	Gil Vicente - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Tondela - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Gil Vicente - AVS	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Santa Clara - Gil Vicente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
20.12.25	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	2:2
16.05.25	Rio Ave - Gil Vicente	1:1
06.01.25	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	1:1
06.04.24	Rio Ave - Gil Vicente	3:0
12.11.23	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	1:1
12.03.23	Rio Ave - Gil Vicente	2:1
17.09.22	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	2:2

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