Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Rionegro Águilas		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.35	3.05	2.22	Watch
	3.48	3.1	2.3
	3.33	3.18	2.23	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3.34	3	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.93)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rionegro Águilas
28.8%

Draw
30.4%

América de Cali
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). América de Cali will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Salazar A. (G) 26. Lozano D. 5. Hernandez D. 32. Mena J. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 29. Lopes H. 16. Pineda J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 8. Ricaurte A. 9. Rivaldo J.	1. Jean (G) 13. Castillo M. 2. Torres M. 4. Mosquera A. 30. Bertel O. 17. Lucumi J. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 19. Palacios J. 9. Valencia D. 10. Guzman Y.
Substitutes
11. Canozales C. 34. Hurtado J. (G) 27. Londono C. 99. Obregon J. 17. Quintero J. 25. Roa J. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 10. Uruena B. 3. Varela J.	21. Angel T. 6. Cavadia J. 18. Garces Y. 11. Machis D. 14. Mina D. 20. Ramos A. 25. Romero J. 12. Soto J. (G) 24. Tovar C.
Coaches
Nino J.	Gonzalez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valencia D. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
46', Pineda J. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Guzman Y. ⚽, Carrascal R. (A),
56', Torres M. 🟥,
58', Pineda J. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
59', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
59', Lucumi J. ↓, Tovar C. ↑,
66', Guzman Y. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
66', Palacios J. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
71', Ricaurte A. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
82', Jean 🟨,
83', Lopes H. 🟨,
84', Lopes H. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
89', Escobar J. 🟨,
90+2', Obregon J. 🟨,
90+10', Garces Y. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.

In recent matches, Rionegro Águilas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

América de Cali is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	12	8	3	1	24:7	17	27
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Rionegro Águilas - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.77%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
15.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Inter Bogotá	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWL
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
15.03.26	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	América de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
26.07.25	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	2:1
30.04.25	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	0:1
16.07.24	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	1:2
20.01.24	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	0:1
20.09.23	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	2:2
11.04.23	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:3
30.11.22	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:1

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