The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rionegro Águilas 22.5%
Draw 26.6%
Atlético Nacional 51%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
28.5%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
28%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Arboleda I. (G) 26. Lozano D. 29. Lopes H. 5. Hernandez D. 32. Mena J. 25. Roa J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 10. Uruena B. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 9. Rivaldo J.
1. Ospina D. (C) 6. Roman A. 4. Haydar C. 16. Tesillo W. 20. Casco M. 8. Uribe M. 21. Campuzano J. 13. Rodriguez N. 17. Arango C. 29. Sarmiento A. 9. Morelos A.
Substitutes
90. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 33. Cadavid G. 11. Canozales C. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 99. Obregon J. 16. Pineda J. 8. Ricaurte A. 12. Salazar A. (G)
27. Asprilla D. 10. Cardona E. 15. Castillo H. (G) 36. Correa R. 35. Lozano M. 7. Moreno M. 3. Parra N. 19. Rengifo J. 80. Zapata J.
Coaches
Nino J.
Arias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Arango C. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
45+8', 1 - 0, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Suarez Chalare F. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Asprilla D. ⚽, Campuzano J. (A),
55', Uribe M. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
55', Sarmiento A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
59', Roa J. 🟨,
62', Roa J. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
62', Uruena B. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
65', Arboleda I. 🟨,
66', Rivaldo J. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
69', Canozales C. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Rengifo J. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
75', Casco M. ↓, Parra N. ↑,
76', Morelos A. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
76', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
81', Moreno M. 🟨,
90+2', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
90+2', Rodriguez N. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
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Arboleda I. (G) 
Lopes H. 
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