Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 4

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro)


	Rionegro Águilas		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	9	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.31	4.55	7.9	Watch
	1.38	4.16	8.77	Watch
	1.3	4.8	9
	1.29	4.9	9.7	Watch
	1.31	4.55	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	4.58 ↑ (4.04)	8.61 ↑ (7.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rionegro Águilas
69.3%

Draw
20%

Orsomarso
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

22.7%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.6%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Rionegro Águilas - Orsomarso Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rionegro Águilas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Hernandez D. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Montano Loango A. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟥,
76', 2 - 1, Morelo W. ⚽,
87', Guerra Navarro S. 🟥,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Rionegro Águilas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orsomarso is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Orsomarso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rionegro Águilas is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Copa
04.06.25	Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas	4:0 ✺
31.05.25	Rionegro Águilas - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33 LWWWW
- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Copa
08.06.25	Orsomarso - Alianza Valledupar	2:2 ✺
03.06.25	Barranquilla - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Orsomarso - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
13.05.25	Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLTT

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