Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	21:30	Disney+, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	21:30	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	03:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	20:30	Disney+
Colombia	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Germany	02:30	Sportdigital+
Greece	03:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 3
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Mexico	18:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
North Central America	—	ESPN 3 North
Peru	19:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	02:30	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV1
Serbia	02:30	Arena Premium 3
South America	—	ESPN 5 South, ESPN South
Spain	02:30	beIN Sports
Turkey	03:30	S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, Inter
International	00:30	Disney+, Pluto TV


	River Plate		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	10	Watch
	1.41	4.6	7
	1.32	4.95	9.4	Watch
	1.34	5.01	9.54	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7	Watch
	1.34	4.99	9.59	Watch
	1.32	4.95	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	4.83 ↑ (4.81)	8.85 ↑ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
69.9%

Draw
19.5%

Barcelona Guayaquil
10.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

19.1%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

River Plate - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - River Plate (2.08) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Barcelona (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armani F. (C) 4. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 17. Diaz P. 21. Acuna M. 22. Castano K. 24. Perez E. 8. Meza M. 30. Mastantuono F. 15. Driussi S. 11. Colidio F.	1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 3. Arreaga X. 4. Vallecilla G. 6. Chala A. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 23. Arroyo D. 13. Corozo J. 21. Valiente J. 25. Solano C. 9. Rivero O.
Substitutes
29. Aliendro R. 16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. 26. Fernandez N. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 10. Lanzini M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 9. Miguel Borja 6. Pezzella G. 7. Rojas M. 31. Simon S. 38. Subiabre I.	10. Caicedo F. 41. Calle P. 37. Campi G. 26. Castillo Segura B. D. 29. Chala Rosales W. J. 8. Cortez Casierra G. J. 7. Gomez J. 5. Jesus Trindade 2. Mario Pineida 35. Pinargote Lara K. D. (G) 45. Preciado P. 27. Vargas W.
Coaches
Gallardo M.	Castillo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Driussi S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
62', Solano C. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
64', Colidio F. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
64', Meza M. ↓, Simon S. ↑,
74', Valiente J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
74', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Jesus Trindade ↑,
76', Castano K. 🟨,
82', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
85', Rivero O. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
85', Corozo J. ↓, Campi G. ↑,
85', Driussi S. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
85', Montiel G. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
90+1', Miguel Borja 🟨,

Preview

River Plate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Barcelona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barcelona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S. (Injury) Giuliano Galoppo (Inactive) Kranevitter M. (Inactive) Martinez P. (Inactive) Montiel G. (Inactive) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Universitario de Deportes - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.03.25	River Plate - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.25	Deportivo Riestra - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTWT
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.03.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.03.25	Corinthians - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.03.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

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