Match Info

Date: 17 September 2021, Friday


	River Plate Asunción		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.65
	4.7	3.45	1.67
	4.8	3.65	1.65
	5.31	3.82	1.7
	4.2	3.2	1.85
	4.75	3.78	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.24)	3.58 ↑ (3.28)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Asunción
19.6%

Draw
25.8%

Libertad Asuncion
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

28.6%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

18.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Asunción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Asunción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

River Plate Asunción - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

Recent matches River Plate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Libertad is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.09.21	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Asunción	0:2 ✺
29.08.21	River Plate Asunción - Guaraní Asuncion	1:5 ✺
22.08.21	12 de Octubre - River Plate Asunción	2:2 ✺
13.08.21	River Plate Asunción - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
08.08.21	Sol de América - River Plate Asunción	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTWL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.21	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
01.09.21	Atlético Juventud Loma Pytá - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.21	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	5:0 ✺
23.08.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.21	Libertad Asuncion - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.21	River Plate Asunción - Libertad Asuncion	1:3
01.03.21	Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	2:1

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