Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Libertad Asuncion		Santos

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.12	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.3
	2.18	3.28	3.54
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.14	3.38	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.29)	3.26 ↑ (3.18)	3.41 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
44%

Draw
28.7%

Santos
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

19.6%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Libertad Asuncion - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Libertad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Libertad will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.08.21	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.21	Santos - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.08.21	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
31.07.21	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
25.07.21	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.21	Fortaleza - Santos	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.21	Santos - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.21	Santos - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.21	Juazeirense - Santos	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.08.21	Chapecoense - Santos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
12.08.21	Santos - Libertad Asuncion	2:1

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