Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	River Plate Montevideo		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3.3	2.08	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.13
	3.4	3.35	2.21
	3.4	3.2	2.15
	3.34	3.34	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.38)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	2.13 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
27.6%

Draw
28.6%

Atlético Nacional
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

19.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Banfield	1:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Atlético Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.10.20	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWTLW
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
31.10.20	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Atlético Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.10.20	Patriotas - Atlético Nacional	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Atlético Nacional - América de Cali	2:2 ✺
15.10.20	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Atlético Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
10.12.14	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Nacional	2:0
03.12.14	Atlético Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	1:1

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