Match Info

J3 League - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Roasso Kumamoto		Ehime

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.20	2.35
	2.65	3.15	2.35	Watch
	2.74	3.35	2.48
	2.79	3.32	2.44	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.98	3.38	2.29	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.65)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	2.39 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
33.5%

Draw
28.1%

Ehime
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.5%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 39. Ishida R. 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. 5. Kobayashi K. 41. Omoto Y. 29. Mishina N. 25. Nasu K. (C) 37. Ozawa H. 9. Bae Jeong-Min 7. Fujii K.	36. Tsuji S. (G) 5. Kuroishi T. (C) 50. Sugiyama K. 16. Hosoya K. 8. Kamimura S. 18. Shibata T. 22. Takemoto Y. 23. Miyamoto K. 49. Abe R. 17. Tamura S. 38. Hino S.
Substitutes
13. Iihoshi A. 14. Ishihara O. 10. Katori Y. 22. Matsuda E. 15. Mishima S. 17. Nagai S. 3. Onishi R. 23. Sato Y. (G) 11. Watanabe R.	9. Fujimoto Y. 3. Fukushima H. 44. Hayashi M. 37. Ishio R. 99. Kabayama R. 28. Kozakai A. 45. Makiguchi K. (G) 13. Yamashita Y. 48. Yukutomo T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Nasu K. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Shibata T. ⚽,
25', Sugiyama K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Takemoto Y. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
46', Miyamoto K. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
56', Omoto Y. ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
66', Hosoya K. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
68', Kobayashi K. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
68', Ishida R. ↓, Matsuda E. ↑,
68', Fujii K. ↓, Katori Y. ↑,
76', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Mishima S. ↑,
76', Shibata T. ↓, Fukushima H. ↑,
84', Kamimura S. ↓, Kozakai A. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 2, Hino S. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 2nd in the Promotion - J2 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Kumamoto has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:16 (averaging 1.7:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kumamoto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 17:6 goals (averaging 2.4:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ehime	10	7	2	1	24:10	14	23
9	Kumamoto	10	3	5	2	7:6	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.84%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J3 League
02.10.26	Reilac Shiga - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Fukushima United - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWTW
- Ehime FC
Japan J3 League
03.10.26	Ehime - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Ehime - Tokyo	0:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Ryūkyū - Ehime	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ehime - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Osaka - Ehime	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1
Japan J2 League
23.11.25	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
11.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	2:2
29.06.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	4:0
10.03.24	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	2:3
17.11.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	3:0
17.03.18	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2

Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide