The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 42.2%
Draw 28.3%
Rochdale 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
26.8%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
29.1%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochdale's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochdale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.7%
3.3%
20%
Swindon Town - Rochdale Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Rochdale will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 61.6% – 91.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Swindon has the most likely position - 6 (5.99%), has project points - 67, has currently - 3, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (7.89%), has project points - 53, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality11, small importance25, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Swindon won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.
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