Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 28

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Roda		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	7.5	Watch
	1.34	5.4	7.4	Watch
	1.37	5.23	6.77
	1.35	5.27	7.4	Watch
	1.33	5	7
	1.36	4.99	7.48	Watch
	1.35	5.33	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)	5.17 ↑ (5.07)	7.17 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
69.1%

Draw
18%

MVV Maastricht
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

18.4%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

17.5%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Roda - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 15. Beerten L. 5. Jansen K. 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 9. van den Hurk A. (C) 11. Griffith I. 16. Cooper-Love J.	1. Westerveld S. (G) 39. Sy K. 22. Breugelmans I. 3. Dicke F. 26. van Kempen M. 8. Van Dessel S. 31. Kleinen M. 21. Asante D. 6. El Basri N. 10. Silva Timas I. 9. Braken S. (C)
Substitutes
24. Deom J. 26. El Meliani R. 27. Kalinauskas T. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 6. Paulissen M. 7. Seedorf C. 2. Timmermans J. 33. Van den Buijs D. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R. 21. Zich B. (G)	28. Amgar A. 29. de Jong T. 27. Foubert L. 2. Francis S. 40. Geerinck R. (G) 18. Jashari L. 38. Klaasen R. 14. Kuipers M. 32. Tran L. M. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 24. Zaian A.
Coaches
van Dessel K.	van den Berg P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Nisbet J. 🟨,
13', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Griffith I. ⚽, Nisbet J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Silva Timas I. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
46', van Kempen M. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
58', Kleinen M. ↓, Klaasen R. ↑,
58', El Basri N. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
62', de Jong T. 🟨,
63', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
72', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
73', Breij M. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
86', Sy K. ↓, Jashari L. ↑,
86', van den Hurk A. ↓, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ⚽,
90+1', Breij M. 🟨,
90+2', Braken S. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Roda is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Roda won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 3.87% Maastricht: 1.24%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16
7	Maastricht	10	5	1	4	13:20	-7	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.26	Waalwijk - Roda	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Roda - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	Almere City - Roda	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Roda - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Roda - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWTL
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.26	ADO Den Haag - MVV Maastricht	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	MVV Maastricht - Almere City	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht	5:0 ✺
23.01.26	MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.11.25	MVV Maastricht - Roda	0:0
01.02.25	MVV Maastricht - Roda	3:2
21.09.24	Roda - MVV Maastricht	1:0
17.03.24	MVV Maastricht - Roda	0:3
26.11.23	Roda - MVV Maastricht	1:0
05.02.23	Roda - MVV Maastricht	2:1
04.09.22	MVV Maastricht - Roda	1:1

Roda - MVV Maastricht: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide