Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 14

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Roda		Telstar

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2	3.4	3.25
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.68	3.56
	2.03	3.57	3.43	Watch
	2	3.5	3.25
	2.03	3.62	3.38	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.99)	3.56 ↓ (3.69)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
46.2%

Draw
26.3%

Telstar
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Roda - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Telstar will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 13. Roseler N. (C) 3. Oude Kotte T. 8. Muller J. P. 15. Beerten L. 17. Dzepar O. 77. Sejdiu P. 97. Baeten T. 47. Seedorf C. 9. Cukur T.	1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 5. Dirks S. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 4. Offerhaus G. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 9. El Kachati Y. 10. Eddahchouri Z. 14. Kaandorp M.
Substitutes
27. Bangura S. 26. El Meliani R. 11. Griffith I. 4. Koglin B. 18. Kother T. 20. Leijten R. 24. Markelo N. 90. Marsman N. (G) 32. Moro I. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E. 10. Schwirten J. 33. Timmermans J.	28. Bodak T. (G) 16. den Haan J. 19. Hagedoorn S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 23. Hetli S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 15. Lechkar A. 12. Overtoom T. 25. Owusu T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R.
Coaches
Sibum B.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Seedorf C. ⚽, Dzepar O. (A),
44', Rossen N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kaandorp M. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
62', Noslin T. ↓, Owusu T. ↑,
77', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
77', Rossen N. ↓, Overtoom T. ↑,
87', Seedorf C. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
90', Hardeveld J. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roda won 2.

Roda is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Telstar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Roda have a series of guest games.

Roda will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Roda: Jansen K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roda: Bucker K. (Knee Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Roda won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:25 (average 1.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Roda won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.11.24	Den Bosch - Roda	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Roda	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.10.24	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Helmond Sport - Roda	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	ADO Den Haag - Roda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.11.24	Telstar - Volendam	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.24	Telstar - Helmond Sport	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.24	Emmen - Telstar	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	FC Oss - Telstar	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Telstar - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.03.24	Telstar - Roda	1:1
15.09.23	Roda - Telstar	3:0
10.03.23	Roda - Telstar	1:2
14.10.22	Telstar - Roda	2:1
06.05.22	Roda - Telstar	4:3
20.08.21	Telstar - Roda	3:4
19.03.21	Telstar - Roda	3:1

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