Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 29

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)


	Den Bosch		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.8	2.5	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.55
	2.42	3.7	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.85	2.62
	2.44	3.84	2.54	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.5
	2.45	3.62	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.41)	3.69 ↓ (3.7)	2.55 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
38.3%

Draw
25.2%

Roda
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

24.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

24.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Den Bosch - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Roda will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Roda (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 50%). Roda (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 4. van Grunsven T. (C) 3. Maas S. 5. de Groot N. 6. Felida K. 10. van Leeuwen T. 33. Laros M. 15. de Vries J. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 8. Monzialo K.	1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 15. Beerten L. 5. Jansen K. 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 9. van den Hurk A. (C) 11. Griffith I. 16. Cooper-Love J.
Substitutes
27. Akmum R. 1. Bakker M. (G) 47. Barglan S. 40. Boumassaoudi I. 26. el Bakkali Z. 17. Semedo E. 7. Sille G. 48. van Balsfoort R. (G) 42. Van Koeverden L. 16. Wang B.	24. Deom J. 26. El Meliani R. 27. Kalinauskas T. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 6. Paulissen M. 7. Seedorf C. 2. Timmermans J. 33. Van den Buijs D. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R. 21. Zich B. (G)
Coaches
Landvreugd U.	van Dessel K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Monzialo K. ⚽,
20', Cooper-Love J. 🟨,
28', Beerten L. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, van Grunsven T. ⚽, de Vries J. (A),
45', Jansen K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Griffith I. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
55', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
68', de Vries J. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Breij M. ⚽, Jansen K. (A),
79', 2 - 2, Kalinauskas T. ⚽, Seedorf C. (A),
80', Monzialo K. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
80', Muller J. P. ↓, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ↑,
85', Boumassaoudi I. 🟨,
88', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Barglan S. ↑,
88', Felida K. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
90+1', Breij M. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
90+4', Jansen K. ↓, El Meliani R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1.

Den Bosch has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Roda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Den Bosch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 3.87% Den Bosch: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Den Bosch - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.02.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Den Bosch - Emmen	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLTT
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.02.26	Roda - MVV Maastricht	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Waalwijk - Roda	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Roda - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	Almere City - Roda	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Roda - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.10.25	Roda - Den Bosch	6:0
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Den Bosch - Roda	5:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.02.25	Roda - Den Bosch	0:0
02.11.24	Den Bosch - Roda	1:1
19.01.24	Den Bosch - Roda	0:0
22.09.23	Roda - Den Bosch	4:1
21.04.23	Roda - Den Bosch	0:1

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