Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Frans Heesen Stadion (Oss)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	FC Oss		Telstar

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.86
	3.4	3.5	1.9
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.81	3.69	1.97
	3.54	3.65	1.97	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.91
	3.61	3.74	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.89)	3.69 ↑ (3.6)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Oss
26.3%

Draw
25.3%

Telstar
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.1%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Oss's form might have worsened.

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Telstar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Telstar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

FC Oss - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Havekotte M. (G) 20. Troupee G. 2. Miguel L. 4. Lambrix X. 26. Kuijpers J. 39. Allemeersch A. 8. Esajas M. 10. Korte G. 14. van der Werff T. 11. Remans M. 9. Stensrud A.	1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 5. Dirks S. 2. Hardeveld J. 4. Offerhaus G. 11. Noslin T. 17. Rossen N. 6. Bakker D. 7. Hamdaoui M. 10. Eddahchouri Z. 23. Hetli S.
Substitutes
21. Cox T. 17. Hinoke M. 3. Mac-Intosch C. 27. Mulder J. 29. Niekel T. 13. Spenkelink M. (G) 5. Van Bost J. 16. van Herk M. (G) 19. Wildeboer T. 75. Zimmerman J. 31. Zitman S.	24. Benzzine A. 28. Bodak T. (G) 19. Hagedoorn S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 15. Lechkar A. 12. Overtoom T. 25. Owusu T. 18. van Ekeris R. 26. van Schooneveld J.
Coaches
Ultee S.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Eddahchouri Z. (Pen),
5', Rossen N. 🟨,
38', Noslin T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kuijpers J. ↓, Mulder J. ↑,
64', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
64', Hetli S. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
64', Hamdaoui M. ↓, van Ekeris R. ↑,
70', van der Werff T. ↓, Zitman S. ↑,
70', Stensrud A. ↓, Zimmerman J. ↑,
70', Remans M. ↓, Hinoke M. ↑,
80', Rossen N. ↓, Overtoom T. ↑,
80', Esajas M. ↓, Mac-Intosch C. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Allemeersch A. ⚽, Zitman S. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oss won 2.

Oss has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Telstar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oss could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Telstar will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Oss: Loukili K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Telstar: El Kachati Y. (Yellow Cards)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Oss won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Oss won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.10.24	FC Oss - ADO Den Haag	1:5 ✺
27.09.24	MVV Maastricht - FC Oss	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	FC Oss - FC Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
16.09.24	Helmond Sport - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	FC Oss - Jong PSV	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.10.24	Telstar - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
04.10.24	Jong Utrecht - Telstar	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Telstar - Den Bosch	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Telstar	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Excelsior - Telstar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.01.24	FC Oss - Telstar	1:0
27.10.23	Telstar - FC Oss	1:0
26.03.23	Telstar - FC Oss	1:0
06.01.23	FC Oss - Telstar	2:1
04.03.22	Telstar - FC Oss	2:2
26.11.21	FC Oss - Telstar	1:1
16.01.21	FC Oss - Telstar	1:4

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