Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 18

Date: 30 January 2023, Monday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)


	Roda		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	2
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.3	3.6	2.02
	3.35	3.45	2
	3.53	3.96	2
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.38	3.72	2.03	Watch
	3.35	3.5	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.62)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)	2 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
27.4%

Draw
25.9%

Zwolle
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roda's form might have worsened.

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zwolle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zwolle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	19.2%	76.9%

Roda - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 2 - 3.8%). Zwolle will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 65.4% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roda won 2.

Recent matches Roda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zwolle is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Roda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zwolle will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Roda won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Roda won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.01.23	Roda - Dordrecht	1:0 ✺
23.01.23	Jong Ajax - Roda	1:2 ✺
13.01.23	Roda - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
06.01.23	Willem II - Roda	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Roda - Heracles Almelo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTLL
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.01.23	Zwolle - FC Oss	4:1 ✺
20.01.23	Zwolle - VVV-Venlo	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Heracles Almelo - Zwolle	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
12.01.23	Feyenoord - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.01.23	Zwolle - Almere City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
07.04.18	Roda - Zwolle	3:2
13.08.17	Zwolle - Roda	4:2
06.04.17	Roda - Zwolle	2:1
05.11.16	Zwolle - Roda	0:0
08.04.16	Zwolle - Roda	3:1
21.11.15	Roda - Zwolle	0:5
01.02.14	Zwolle - Roda	3:1

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